• MLS MARKET PULSE: +4.2% AGGREGATE VALUE • TOP GAINER: Diego Luna (RSL) +$1.2M • TACTICAL SHIFT: High-Press systems up 12% in USLC • UNDERVALUED: USL-to-MLS pipeline efficiency +8% • XG-TO-VALUE: Correlation coefficient 0.84

Quantifying the Unseen Value in Soccer.

A machine-learning-driven approach to mapping team tactical identities and identifying market inefficiencies across North American leagues.

Explore the Clusters How it Works
Powered by data from American Soccer Analysis

The Schools of Thought

Phase 1 PCA-K-Means clustering identifies tactical archetypes across American soccer leagues based on a 15-metric profile.

High-Efficiency Passing

Identified by elite Possession Quality. These teams dominate games through patient, high-completion passing sequences in the middle and final thirds.

High-Line Pressing

Identified by extreme Opponent Directness. They restrict short build-ups, forcing direct clearances by deploying aggressive high presses.

High-Disruption Defense

Identified by intensive Defensive Disruption. Midfield defensive units that break up transition plays and force high turnover volumes.

Advanced Receiving

Identified by elevated Receiving Impact. High-mobility teams that excel at finding playmakers in space between the opposition lines.

Possession Dominant

Identified by massive Possession Volume. These systems dictate the match tempo by chaining long, secure passing sequences to choke out opposition transitions.

Direct Attacking

Identified by high Attacking Directness. High-tempo setups that bypass midfield build-up to quickly hit spaces in behind defenses.

* The model scores teams against 6 stable, reference-calibrated tactical archetypes, allowing hybrid classifications for transitional systems.

Methodology

How we quantify tactical DNA using Principal Component Analysis.

1. Broad Data Net

We extract a robust 15-dimensional matrix for every team from American Soccer Analysis, including Base xG, Passing Volume & Directness, and specialized g+ components.

2. PCA Reduction

Rather than forcing teams into preconceived boxes, we use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to mathematically identify the strongest vectors of variance across playing styles.

3. Algorithmic Labeling

Teams are grouped via K-Means clustering. An automated labeling engine then scans the centroids to assign sharp, human-readable tactical identities based on the data.

Application

Scouting for System Fit

Stop overpaying for raw output. TVMS enables clubs and analysts to evaluate players based on how their specific statistical archetype fits a target team's tactical DNA. By measuring system-interaction, we project performance translation across leagues and uncover hidden market value before the competition does.

The Old Way
Raw Output
Evaluating stats in a vacuum
The TVMS Way
Contextual Fit
Projecting via team DNA

System Roadmap

Phase 01

Tactical DNA

Clustering team identities in USLC and MLS.

Phase 02

Player Archetypes

Classifying player roles using PCA reduction.

Phase 03

Valuation Engine

Predicting Fair Market Value based on system fit.

Let's talk tactics.

I'm always building new tools and analyzing the modern game. Follow along on X (Twitter) for the latest insights and updates to TVMS.

Connect with me